Three motives
- Transactions: money for everyday spending, rising with income.
- Precautionary: a buffer for unexpected needs, also rising with income.
- Speculative: holding money instead of bonds when bond prices are expected to fall, which grows as interest rates fall.
Interest rates and the liquidity trap
Keynes held that the interest rate is set by the demand for and supply of money, not by saving and investment. At very low rates everyone prefers cash, so extra money supply cannot push rates lower - the liquidity trap - and fiscal policy is needed.
Contrast and successors
The quantity theory (MV = PY) treats money only as a medium of exchange with stable velocity; Keynes treated money as an asset, so velocity varies with interest rates. Baumol (1952) and Tobin (1956) showed transactions demand is interest-sensitive, and Tobin (1958) recast speculative demand as risk aversion.
References
- Keynes, J. M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Macmillan, ch. 13-15.
- Baumol, W. J. (1952). The transactions demand for cash: An inventory theoretic approach. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 66(4), 545-556.
- Tobin, J. (1958). Liquidity preference as behavior towards risk. Review of Economic Studies, 25(2), 65-86.