الإعداد
يرى إلغا أن الجواب الثلث، ويرى لويس أنه النصف.
الحجج
تدعم حجج التكرار والرهان جواب الثلث.
الأهمية
ربطها بوستروم (2002) بتأثيرات انتقاء الملاحظة.
الأسئلة الشائعة
- ما المسألة ببساطة؟
- احتمال الوجه عند الاستيقاظ.
- ما الجواب؟
- لا إجماع؛ الثلث أو النصف.
تاريخ مراجعة المصادر: 2026-10-26
المراجع
- Elga, A. (2000). Self-locating belief and the Sleeping Beauty problem. Analysis, 60(2), 143–147.
- Lewis, D. (2001). Sleeping Beauty: Reply to Elga. Analysis, 61(3), 171–176.
- Piccione, M., & Rubinstein, A. (1997). On the interpretation of decision problems with imperfect recall. Games and Economic Behavior, 20(1), 3–24.
- Arntzenius, F. (2002). Reflections on Sleeping Beauty. Analysis, 62(1), 53–62.
- Dorr, C. (2002). Sleeping Beauty: In defence of Elga. Analysis, 62(4), 292–296.
- Bostrom, N. (2002). Anthropic Bias: Observation Selection Effects in Science and Philosophy. New York: Routledge.
- Bostrom, N. (2007). Sleeping Beauty and self-location: A hybrid model. Synthese, 157(1), 59–78.
- Titelbaum, M. G. (2008). The relevance of self-locating beliefs. Philosophical Review, 117(4), 555–606.
- Hitchcock, C. (2004). Beauty and the bets. Synthese, 139(3), 405–420.
- Briggs, R. (2010). Putting a value on Beauty. In T. S. Gendler & J. Hawthorne (Eds.), Oxford Studies in Epistemology (Vol. 3, pp. 3–34). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Pust, J. (2012). Conditionalization and essentially indexical credence. Journal of Philosophy, 109(4), 295–315.
- Aumann, R. J., Hart, S., & Perry, M. (1997). The absent-minded driver. Games and Economic Behavior, 20(1), 102–116.
- Titelbaum, M. G. (2013). Ten reasons to care about the Sleeping Beauty problem. Philosophy Compass, 8(11), 1003–1017.
