起源
恶性通胀分析。
自然失业率
与菲利普斯曲线相关。
CampusDown PICK大家都在看
批评
来自理性预期的批评。
常见问题
- 简单来说？
- 按误差调整预测。
- 与理性预期区别？
- 信息使用方式不同。
来源核查日期：2026-10-26
参考文献
- Cagan, P. (1956). The monetary dynamics of hyperinflation. In M. Friedman (Ed.), Studies in the quantity theory of money (pp. 25–117). University of Chicago Press. 恶性通胀分析经典。
- Nerlove, M. (1958). Adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 72(2), 227–240. 应用于蛛网模型。
- Friedman, M. (1968). The role of monetary policy. American Economic Review, 58(1), 1–17. 附加预期的菲利普斯曲线。
- Muth, J. F. (1961). Rational expectations and the theory of price movements. Econometrica, 29(3), 315–335. 理性预期原著。
- Lucas, R. E., Jr. (1972). Expectations and the neutrality of money. Journal of Economic Theory, 4(2), 103–124. 理性预期革命。
- Evans, G. W., & Honkapohja, S. (2001). Learning and expectations in macroeconomics. Princeton University Press. 适应性学习专著。
- Coibion, O., & Gorodnichenko, Y. (2015). Information rigidity and the expectations formation process: A simple framework and new facts. American Economic Review, 105(8), 2644–2678. 预期形成实证。
- Malmendier, U., & Nagel, S. (2016). Learning from inflation experiences. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(1), 53–87. 经验塑造预期。