概述
两党简单多数制下席位比接近得票比立方的经验规律。
发展
与比例代表制相关。
评价
有实证与批评。
常见问题
- 立方律是什么?
- 两党简单多数制下席位比接近得票比立方的经验规律。
- 为何重要?
- 有助于理解社会。
来源核查日期:2026-10-26
参考文献
- Kendall, M. G., & Stuart, A. (1950). The law of the cubic proportion in election results. British Journal of Sociology, 1(3), 183–196. 以英国选举数据统计检验立方律的经典文献。
- Duverger, M. (1954). Political parties: Their organization and activity in the modern state. Methuen. 论述简单多数制与两党制关系的经典,提供制度背景。
- Taagepera, R. (1973). Seats and votes: A generalization of the cube law of elections. Social Science Research, 2(3), 257–275. 用选民数和选区数推广指数,有助于理解为何是3。
- Tufte, E. R. (1973). The relationship between seats and votes in two-party systems. American Political Science Review, 67(2), 540–554. 以回归估计席位-选票摆动比,适合了解实证方法。
- King, G., & Browning, R. X. (1987). Democratic representation and partisan bias in congressional elections. American Political Science Review, 81(4), 1251–1273. 区分回应度与党派偏差,适合讨论选区划分问题。
- Taagepera, R., & Shugart, M. S. (1989). Seats and votes: The effects and determinants of electoral systems. Yale University Press. 系统论述选举制度效果的代表著作。
- Gelman, A., & King, G. (1994). A unified method of evaluating electoral systems and redistricting plans. American Journal of Political Science, 38(2), 514–554. 提出以概率模型评估席位-选票曲线的方法。
