التشبيه
يجب توقع ما يتوقعه متوسط الرأي عن متوسط الرأي.
التجارب
تركزت الاختيارات قرب 33 و22 في تجارب ناغل (1995).
الأسواق
قد تبالغ الأسعار في الاستجابة للمعلومات العامة (ألن وموريس وشين، 2006).
الأسئلة الشائعة
- ما المسابقة ببساطة؟
- توقّع اختيار الآخرين لا ذوقك.
- ما الرقم الفائز؟
- نظرياً صفر، وعملياً نحو 20 إلى 30.
تاريخ مراجعة المصادر: 2026-10-26
المراجع
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